Tecos vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
EST
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
EST
1 - 2
SNL
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CHI
3 - 2
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
PAC
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 0
EST
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
NEC
4 - 0
CAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
JAG
0 - 0
NEC
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
NEC
0 - 2
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
PUE
1 - 0
NEC
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
QRO
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |