Tecos vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
REB
1 - 1
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
62%
21%
18%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
IRA
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
QRO
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
5 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 0
MON
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 4
TIG
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |