Tecos vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 1
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 1
EST
28%
26%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
LEO
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PUE
3 - 1
MOR
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SNL
1 - 2
MOR
28%
28%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |