Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 2-7
Tecos vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
EST
2 - 0
JAG
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
AME
2 - 1
EST
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
PUE
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
QRO
2 - 0
EST
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
EST
1 - 0
ATS
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUM
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
MOR
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 1
MOR
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
6 - 0
NEC
56%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |