Tecos vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
4º
2º
8
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 2
EST
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
LCU
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
0 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
HDZ
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 2
EST
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 3
CFC
16%
22%
63%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
LEO
24%
20%
56%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LCU
3 - 0
MFC
79%
15%
7%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
CSI
14%
20%
66%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
HDZ
1 - 1
MFC
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |