Tecos vs Halcones de Zapopan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
4º
2º
6
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 2
EST
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
ZAC
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NAY
3 - 2
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
TRI
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Halcones de Zapopan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
HDZ
1 - 1
MFC
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 0
HDZ
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HDZ
1 - 2
LCU
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HDZ
0 - 1
CSI
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
HDZ
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |