Tecos vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
TIJ
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
EST
52%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 0
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |