Tecos vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 0
EST
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 1
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
UAT
0 - 1
EST
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
ALT
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
DOR
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
UAT
0 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
NEC
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
MER
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |