Tecos vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 2
EST
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
EST
1 - 2
ATS
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
EST
1 - 1
TIG
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
PAC
2 - 2
EST
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 1
PUM
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 4
REB
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATS
30%
25%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
AUR
1 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 0
TIG
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |