Tecos vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
MON
3 - 3
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
EST
0 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 0
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
EST
2 - 1
LEO
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 2
EST
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
TOR
2 - 2
CHI
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOR
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
MON
2 - 1
TOR
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
TOR
0 - 1
TOL
26%
26%
49%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 2
TOR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |