Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
EST
1 - 0
ALV
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
DES
0 - 1
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
EST
6 - 1
DRO
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
SPB
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 0
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
JUU
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
VIL
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -2 |