Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 1
EST
44%
30%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CHI
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
EST
35%
30%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
EST
1 - 2
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 1
EST
32%
30%
39%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 1
GIM
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 0
SMA
27%
28%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
BEL
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
SMA
26%
29%
46%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 1
CHI
73%
19%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |