Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs Jorge Newbery VM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
HHE
1 - 0
EST
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
EST
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
SMA
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
EST
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
HHE
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
HHE
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AME
1 - 3
NEW
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 2
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
EST
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HHE
1 - 0
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |