Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 4-1
Estudiantes La Plata vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 2
EST
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
SNL
0 - 1
EST
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
RIV
59%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
EST
1 - 0
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
TIG
1 - 2
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
SNL
0 - 1
EST
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SNL
3 - 0
QRO
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
SNL
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SNL
1 - 1
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
SNL
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |