Estudiantes La Plata vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1996 |
LAN
0 - 0
EST
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
COL
2 - 1
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1996 |
COL
3 - 2
EST
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1996 |
EST
1 - 2
RAC
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
GIM
2 - 0
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1996 |
SLO
1 - 0
GIM
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1996 |
CEN
1 - 2
SLO
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1996 |
SLO
1 - 0
PLA
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
BOC
1 - 1
SLO
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
SLO
0 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |