Copa Libertadores Final
Global 1-0
Estudiantes La Plata vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1970 |
EST
3 - 1
RIV
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
IND
3 - 1
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
RIV
0 - 1
EST
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
EST
1 - 1
GLP
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PLA
0 - 0
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
UCH
71%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UCH
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1970 |
UCH
1 - 0
PEÑ
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
LIG
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |