Estudiantes La Plata vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 1
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
EST
1 - 1
VEL
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 2
EST
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
EST
1 - 0
GOD
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
GLP
1 - 2
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
NOB
0 - 1
SLO
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
IND
1 - 1
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 0
CEN
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
BAN
4 - 0
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 2
BOC
30%
27%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |