Copa Libertadores Final
Global 3-0
Estudiantes La Plata vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 1
EST
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
EST
0 - 1
RAC
53%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
EST
3 - 1
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MOR
0 - 3
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 3
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 1
EST
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |