Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 0-2
Estudiantes La Plata vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
DYJ
56%
25%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
ARS
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
EST
2 - 0
VEL
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 5
SPT
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |