Estudiantes La Plata vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 0
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
EST
0 - 0
BAN
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
EST
1 - 2
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
COL
0 - 2
EST
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 4
IND
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 2
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
IND
2 - 1
BAN
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BOC
1 - 0
IND
61%
21%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |