Estudiantes La Plata vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1983 |
EST
0 - 1
PLA
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1983 |
EST
2 - 0
AME
94%
4%
2%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1983 |
CEN
2 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1983 |
EST
3 - 0
RAC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
AME
88%
7%
4%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1983 |
AME
1 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
FLA
1 - 3
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1983 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |