Estudiantes La Plata vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 2
EST
51%
27%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
EST
1 - 2
COL
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
SFE
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BAN
1 - 0
EST
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
EST
2 - 1
NOB
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
GIM
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
ARS
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
4 - 3
UNI
68%
21%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 0
BAN
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |