Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Estudiantes La Plata vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1970 |
IND
3 - 1
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
RIV
0 - 1
EST
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
EST
1 - 1
GLP
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PLA
0 - 0
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
EST
1 - 2
ATL
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1970 |
RIV
1 - 1
VEL
59%
22%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
RIV
0 - 1
EST
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
PLA
0 - 2
RIV
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1970 |
BOC
1 - 1
RIV
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1970 |
RIV
5 - 3
UNI
70%
17%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |