Estudiantes La Plata vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 1
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
EST
2 - 0
BAN
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
COL
2 - 0
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CAU
4 - 0
EST
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
EST
1 - 2
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 1
BSC
78%
16%
7%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
BOC
3 - 1
BAN
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
BOC
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CAU
2 - 0
BOC
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
80%
14%
7%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |