Estudiantes La Plata vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
TAL
2 - 0
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
CEN
0 - 0
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
EST
0 - 1
FER
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
COL
0 - 0
EST
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
INS
5 - 2
EST
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 0
ARG
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOC
49%
27%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
GIM
1 - 1
BOC
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
BOC
3 - 0
RIV
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
IND
0 - 2
BOC
55%
24%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |