Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 5-2
Estudiantes La Plata vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 1
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
CCS
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 1
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 2
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 2
UCE
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 2
BSC
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 2
BSC
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |