Estudiantes La Plata vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 0
EST
47%
28%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
GOD
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
RAC
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 0
ATT
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 0
ATT
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ATT
0 - 1
SAR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MER
0 - 1
ATT
32%
29%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
ATT
3 - 4
CEN
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |