Estudiantes La Plata vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAU
2 - 2
EST
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
ALB
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
BOC
0 - 0
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
QUI
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GOD
1 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
RAF
1 - 3
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 2
RAF
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RAF
1 - 2
LAN
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
IND
2 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
RAF
5 - 3
ARG
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |