Estudiantes La Plata vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TAL
2 - 1
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
EST
2 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
RAC
1 - 0
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
BOC
2 - 0
EST
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 0
RAF
67%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TAL
4 - 0
RAF
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
RAF
2 - 3
LAN
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
RAC
4 - 1
RAF
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |