Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-1
Estudiantes La Plata vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
RAC
2 - 1
EST
29%
28%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
EST
1 - 1
SMA
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
EST
2 - 0
ARS
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SLO
3 - 0
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ARS
3 - 2
BAN
49%
27%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
CEN
3 - 0
ARS
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ARS
2 - 2
RIV
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
MOT
1 - 2
ARS
26%
26%
49%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
EST
2 - 0
ARS
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |