Estudiantes de Mérida vs Zamora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
9º
30
3º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
DEP
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DRZ
2 - 1
EST
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
CFC
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 1
MET
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 2
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ZAM
2 - 1
DEP
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CFC
4 - 0
ZAM
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ZAM
0 - 1
TAC
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |