Estudiantes de Mérida vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 1
EST
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
LAR
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
TRU
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 2
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
MIR
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
ANZ
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 2
TUC
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 5
DEP
20%
28%
52%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |