Estudiantes de Mérida vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ZUL
0 - 1
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
TAC
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
EST
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
LLA
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
TRU
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
TAC
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
TUC
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
MIN
21%
25%
53%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 0
TUC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |