Estudiantes de Mérida vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
54%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
TAC
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
LAR
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TUC
2 - 0
DEP
26%
25%
50%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
TUC
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 2
MIN
19%
23%
59%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 1
TUC
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TUC
2 - 2
MIR
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |