Estudiantes de Mérida vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 1
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
31%
27%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
ZUL
1 - 2
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
EST
6 - 2
BAR
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
6 - 0
TRU
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
ZUL
2 - 1
TRU
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 2
POR
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
TRU
0 - 3
TAC
19%
26%
56%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ZAM
6 - 0
TRU
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |