Estudiantes de Mérida vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
ZAM
5 - 0
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
ZUL
35%
28%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 1
EST
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
ARA
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 0
EST
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 2
ZUL
54%
26%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 1
CAR
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 1
TRU
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 3
TRU
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 0
TRU
12%
24%
64%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |