Estudiantes de Mérida vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ZAM
3 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
EST
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
TUC
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
TRU
17%
27%
56%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
TRU
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 3
TRU
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRU
3 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |