Estudiantes de Mérida vs Sport Boys Association analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1977 |
UNI
2 - 1
EST
48%
22%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1977 |
SBO
1 - 3
EST
56%
21%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1977 |
EST
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
EST
0 - 2
POR
63%
19%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Boys Association
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1977 |
POR
0 - 0
SBO
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1977 |
SBO
1 - 3
EST
56%
21%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
SBO
1 - 2
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
UNI
1 - 0
SBO
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1967 |
UNI
0 - 1
SBO
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |