Estudiantes de Mérida vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 0
EST
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 1
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UCV
3 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
EST
4 - 0
MET
32%
23%
44%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
DEP
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
UCV
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |