Estudiantes de Mérida vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
ZUL
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 2
EST
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
EST
4 - 0
TRU
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
APC
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
33%
27%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
POR
0 - 3
TAC
20%
27%
53%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
ZAM
0 - 0
POR
74%
18%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
UCV
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 0
POR
73%
18%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |