Estudiantes de Mérida vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ZUL
1 - 2
EST
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
ANZ
26%
28%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
EST
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
MIR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
ZUL
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ZUL
0 - 0
POR
61%
24%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
DEP
18%
26%
56%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 0
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
ARA
30%
29%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |