Estudiantes de Mérida vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
LIB
2 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
POR
1 - 2
EST
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
LIB
47%
23%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
EST
2 - 3
CCP
46%
23%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
6 - 0
POR
71%
17%
13%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
OHI
1 - 1
POR
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
POR
1 - 1
GAL
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
POR
1 - 1
OHI
53%
22%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |