Estudiantes de Mérida vs Necaxa analysis

Estudiantes de Mérida Necaxa
61 ELO 73
-7.6% Tilt -3.4%
2020º General ELO ranking 962º
13º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
25.8%
Estudiantes de Mérida
25%
Draw
49.2%
Necaxa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
Estudiantes de Mérida
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.2%
Win probability
Necaxa
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estudiantes de Mérida
-11%
+9%
Necaxa

ELO progression

Estudiantes de Mérida
Necaxa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estudiantes de Mérida
Estudiantes de Mérida
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 1998
EST
Estudiantes de Mérida
3 - 2
ULA Mérida
ULA
52%
24%
24%
60 58 2 0
16 Aug. 1987
EST
Estudiantes de Mérida
0 - 3
Deportivo Táchira
TAC
47%
27%
26%
61 65 4 -1
08 Aug. 1987
CEN
Rosario Central
5 - 2
Estudiantes de Mérida
EST
84%
11%
6%
61 78 17 0
04 Aug. 1987
IND
Independiente
2 - 0
Estudiantes de Mérida
EST
88%
8%
4%
62 81 19 -1
26 Jul. 1987
TAC
Deportivo Táchira
3 - 2
Estudiantes de Mérida
EST
57%
22%
22%
63 66 3 -1

Matches

Necaxa
Necaxa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 1998
NEC
Necaxa
2 - 2
Monterrey
MON
51%
22%
27%
73 76 3 0
20 Jul. 1997
COM
Comunicaciones
3 - 3
Necaxa
NEC
39%
26%
35%
73 67 6 0
17 Jul. 1997
NEC
Necaxa
4 - 1
Seattle Sounders
SES
54%
23%
23%
72 71 1 +1
15 Jul. 1997
NEC
Necaxa
1 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
50%
22%
28%
72 76 4 0
02 Jul. 1966
AME
América
0 - 2
Necaxa
NEC
63%
19%
18%
72 75 3 0
X