Estudiantes de Mérida vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
BVS
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1999 |
EST
2 - 1
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1998 |
MON
5 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1998 |
NEC
2 - 0
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
ULA
0 - 2
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
MON
1 - 2
NAC
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
GRE
4 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |