Estudiantes de Mérida vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
YAR
1 - 0
EST
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
URE
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
LLA
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 0
EST
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
URE
0 - 0
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
TRU
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
ANG
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
MON
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
MIN
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 0
MON
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |