Estudiantes de Mérida vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
EST
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
TUC
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
54%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
TAC
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
MIN
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 1
MON
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
CFC
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |