Estudiantes de Mérida vs Mineros de Guayana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
EST
5 - 2
LAR
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
EST
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 2
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
YAR
1 - 0
EST
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
CFC
0 - 0
MIN
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 0
TRU
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 0
CFC
49%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 2
MIN
27%
28%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
CCP
4 - 0
MIN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |