Estudiantes de Mérida vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 0
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
EST
0 - 0
MIN
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
CAR
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
ARA
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
CFC
5 - 0
LLA
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 1
ZUL
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 3
LLA
64%
21%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LLA
3 - 2
APC
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 0
LLA
64%
23%
13%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |