Estudiantes de Mérida vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATL
4 - 0
EST
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 0
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
EST
3 - 0
ZAM
32%
28%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 2
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
TAC
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 1
TRU
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ESC
53%
26%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ESC
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 2
MIN
18%
27%
55%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -2 |