Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-2
Estudiantes de Mérida vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
EME
1 - 3
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1999 |
BVS
5 - 1
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
MON
4 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
EME
1 - 3
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
BLO
2 - 0
EME
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
JWI
4 - 2
EME
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
EME
2 - 0
LIG
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
EME
1 - 0
BLO
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |